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 Feb 16, 2024    |    1 year ago

Bitcoin Rallies Above $52K Despite Weak Macroeconomic Data

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Edward Mutua

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Bitcoin price has surged over 21% in the past week, rallying above $52,000.This percentage gain coincided with increased inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs and uncertainty in the global economy. 

 

Analysis of Bitcoin derivatives metrics suggests the rally is healthy and sustainable, unlike previous unsustainable gains driven by excessive leverage. 

 

Bitcoin Spot ETF Inflows Offset Weak Macroeconomic Data

 

A key driver of Bitcoin's rally is growing institutional investment via Bitcoin spot ETFs. Over $2.4 billion flowed into these funds in the past week alone.

 

This rise coincides with declining economic data that would typically undermine risk assets like Bitcoin. 

 

Uncertainties make investors flock to fixed income assets instead of riskier bets like Bitcoin. However, growing spot ETF inflows have offset weak macro data's negative impact on Bitcoin prices.

 

Traders Remain Cautious Despite Rally

 

Measure of the institutional attitude treating the leverage that happens during the record high of Bitcoin – $52,000 and higher, the metric is vital. 

 

The perpetual funding rate at the moment has been a constant flow rate of 0.0025% per week. This gives an indication that positions are evenly split between buy and sell orders unlike the January 2023 level which was at 1% and this shows excessive optimism.

 

Similarly, the monthly Bitcoin futures basis rate rose above 10% after breaking $48,000, indicating moderate bullishness. But this pales in comparison to overheated premiums above 20% seen previously.

 

Outlook Remains Constructive Above $52,000

 

In summary, Bitcoin has broken out above $52,000, but its rally differs markedly from previous unsustainable gains.

 

Ongoing spot ETF inflows provide fundamental support, while derivatives data indicates professional traders are not irrationally exuberant nor aggressively shorting. 

 

This market balance, along with limited incentive for bears to suppress prices further, sets the stage for continued constructive price action.

 

As long as spot ETF inflows persist and leverage remains moderate, Bitcoin may consolidate and build support above $52,000.

 


 

 

 

DISCLAIMER

On-Chain Media articles are for educational purposes only. We strive to provide accurate and timely information. This information should not be construed as financial advice or an endorsement of any particular cryptocurrency, project, or service. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable.Before making any investment decisions, you are strongly encouraged to conduct your own independent research and due diligence

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